We're getting really good numbers from Wisconsin. It looks a lot like 2020, although it should be noted that the polling was too kind to Republicans in 2022, the polling showed Evers-Michels as a coinflip and Evers won by 3.4 and it showed Johnson with a mid-single digits lead and he wound up winning by 1.
If I were to guess right now, I think we get a repeat of 2020 with Trump overperforming in the polls but still losing narrowly. I do think its possible that the numbers that show Harris with a mid-single digit lead could end up being correct. There's this perception that Biden won because he was able to stop the bleeding in the rural areas and that's just not true. If you exclude Dane and Milwaukee counties, Trump did slightly better in the state even accounting for Biden's improvement in the WOW counties. I think Trump's numbers in the rural areas will continue to improve, but I think its possible he's crested in these areas and the numbers are flat or any improvement he sees is negligible and if that's the case, then I think a 4-6 point win is possible.
Thank you for tracking the actual spending! DCCC, NRCC, and the American Action Fund have all reserved air time in IA-01 and IA-03, but I'm curious to see whether they spend all of that money. In 2022, the DCCC spent less than GOP-aligned groups in IA-03 and spent virtually nothing in IA-01 or IA-02 (which was supposedly a targeted race that year).
With ranked choice voting, this should make no difference. All the non-Peltola voters need to do is rank her last, no matter how they rank the other three. This did not work so well for the R's in 2022, however, as many people ranked an R first, then chose Peltola second.
Actually I was thinking that the farther right candidate would actually attack the Republicans; I normally see that dynamic more; it's a 'purity' argument
Imo the key point of that poll is that Alsobrooks is unknown to over half the state and still winning; her favorable rating is huge and can consolidate the Democratic coalition relatively easily as she gets introduced to the broader statewide electorate; Sabato rates this race as Safe D and Cook rates it Solid D; I agree with the experts
Are you sure?? Perhaps I was thinking of another race that a poll came out and started a similar discussion and I checked cook/Sabato; my mistake, oops
Just to give an update about the two MA State House races I mentioned a few days ago:
In the 27th Middlesex (Somerville) district, the incumbent won easily with near 70% of the vote. (Not really surprising to me anyway.)
In the 25th Middlesex (Cambridge) district, the unofficial totals have the challenger up by just 40 votes. This margin, while small, is enough that they likely won. There's not many votes that aren't included in that number.
Had to dig for it. Seems a Republican pollster based on the bias of their X page. Their spread among the genders seems a little male-dominated to me seeing as how the electorate is shaping up this year.
For real though, in classic NYS fashion, the abortion amendment that is supposed to bolster progressive turnout may be becoming an albatross for suburban house races which may control the House.
Apparently the group supporting the amendment was supposed to raise 20 million to support it but has raised only 2 million.... this has allowed conservative groups to seize on LQBTQ language also in the bill and spew transphobic rhetoric (men in girls bathrooms, men in women's sports etc) and control the narrative to the extent Democratic candidates in suburban areas are not seeing a boost from the amendment at all and now need to explain it to voters.
Also in true NYS Democratic fashion and a sign at how completely anemic party cohesion is in my home State right now, no one is willing to step up to spend or strongly advocate for the amendment, with the state party and Democratic groups passing the buck of responsibility.
Hochul has been trying desperately to take control over the state party for years but has been hamstrung by several self inflicted errors and probably also some strong good-ol-boy political misogyny with her battles with the legislature which have made her look weak in a state where image is everything.
Schumer and Gillibrand always run their own operations and largely play along with the disfunction. I have never seen either of them as involving themselves in State machinations.
The state party chair is basically complicit in the hands off approach.
Hakeem Jeffries has yet to try to visibly take the reins statewide and I don't view him at the moment as someone who is building any sort of machine outside of NYC.
So here we go again with disfunction in New York that may result in weak results when this should have been a slam dunk amendment.
Hopefully the MN DFL pays attention. I do not like that we’re creating an abortion amendment that’s an ERA amendment for 2026. It’s combining too many things. Making the issue more comprehensive creates more opportunities for lies and confusion. And for a lot of voters, abortion and equal rights are two separate issues. Which, I think is fair considering Dems have successfully turned it into a medical issue. The horrible stories were all there.
A junky pollster called SoCal Strategies that appears to be just some Republican kids spouting off. Even Nate Silver has banned them from his database.
I was flying back from Vancouver yesterday and couldn’t believe I missed the stories about Mark Robinson’s porn scandal and Tim Sheehy’s racist Native American remarks.
The thing about Sheehy is that it may not be a huge scandal in Montana as he is prone to frequently detail his stories with members of the Crow tribe. This was just one of them.
Hmm so Macron's former PM Edouard Philippe is predicting Macron will be forced to step down by next year. French politics is never boring, for better or worst.
Republicans are racing to plug a massive money hole — before it’s too late.
The leader of House Republicans’ biggest super PAC told donors last month he needed $35 million more to compete with Democrats in the fall. Senate GOP campaign chair Steve Daines used his primetime speaking slot at the Republican convention to lament that massive spending from Democrats was keeping him awake at night. And his House GOP counterpart warned that their party’s challengers trailed Democratic incumbents by a collective $37 million at the end of June.
Republicans were already worried about a glaring financial gap even before Kamala Harris’ rise. Now, with the election just two months away, they found themselves in an even more dire position: Democrats have seen a flood of enthusiasm in recent weeks, they’re far outspending Republicans on air and their donors are more energized than ever — with campaign finance data showing a surge in grassroots fundraising in late July after President Joe Biden dropped out.
Panic is starting to set in.
“The only thing preventing us from having a great night in November is the massive financial disparity our party currently faces,” said Jason Thielman, the executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. “We are on a trajectory to win the majority, but unless something changes drastically in the next six weeks, we will lose winnable seats.”
They are increasingly looking like our best shots at a majority since Testers race is inching away from us according to some analysts. I would have hoped by now Schumer would recognize this and start dropping some coin. His job is to protect the MAJORITY and not just incumbents. Yes, protecting incumbents easier than defeating them but when there is a real risk that just one seat will be the difference between 50 and 49 then you need to invest sooner than later.
Schumer didn't invest enough in defeating Johnson two years ago and we barely lost it. Yes, different states than Texas or Florida but it's either cross our fingers on Harris keeping it within 15 in Montana for Tester to squeeze through or start dropping in Florida or Texas. At least Florida has some favorable amendments on the ticket this year so maybe start there.
You're forgetting that Russ Feingold had represented Wisconsin for more than 15 years from 1993-2011. He didn't get defeated for re-election by Ron Johnson because he was too liberal. He got defeated because of low turnout and underestimating the Tea Party wave back in 2010.
Besides, Johnson has barely even won his Senate elections by anymore than less than 5% points and his re-election win margins have continued to shrink. Not a good sign if he wants to hold on to his seat in the future.
As it turns out, when Barnes was the Democratic Senate Nominee he lost by just 1% points. Just because Barnes is "too far left" doesn't mean a liberal Democratic Senate Candidate can't win in WI.
Right. WI also since Trump got elected moved to the left whereas pre-Trump and during the Tea Party wave moved more to the right due to the Koch Bros' influence.
If Tester is behind, it is by a lot less than our candidates in TX and FL are behind. There are reasons the professional ratings people all consider MT a toss-up (or tilt-R) while TX and FL are universally rated Likely R. This is not to say we should write off TX and FL--it's just to say our chances in MT are better.
I disagree. Like Andrew said below me, there is only so much money can do before the market is saturated and it starts to make little difference. They say Tester is spending about even. So maybe he can benefit from more. I don't know. But what I do know is we've spent the last six months dumping money into cheap Montana for him and he's still on the cusp of being outside the margin of error according to most analysts.
In no way am I suggesting we triage him at this point at all. But Democrats are so flush for cash that we can afford to spend in Montana and reserve spots in Florida or Texas too. Rosen is looking solid in Nevada and Gallego has consistently led Lake. So even if we don't end up using it, reserving ads in Florida and Texas could pay dividends if we need to pivot at the last minute. If not now, when? We have the money right now to begin laying groundwork this cycle. This opportunity may not come back around while we are rich and facing highly unfavorable candidates in a presidential year. Now is the time if we ever will.
I do not understand what I wrote that you disagree with. You said Tester had less chance to win than we have in TX and FL. I disagreed. You respond saying you disagree with me because Tester has all the funds he likely needs and donations would make more sense in TX and FL. I never said otherwise. Indeed, I have donated to Allred and DMP every quarter. Please don't try to create a disagreement by disagreeing with something I never said and would not have said.
Considering Tester defeated Rep. Matt Rosendale in the MT-SEN race back in 2018 before he ran for the MT-02 seat, while his margin of victory was just a sliver lower than in 2012, He still defeated Rosendale by 3+% points.
If Sheehy wins, I don’t think it will be anything other than perhaps 500-1000 votes more than Tester. Even then, i have yet to see evidence he’s running a credible campaign.
My, my. As a Jew, I really am offended that a fellow Jew would do something like this to his wife. At a holiday party event in San Francisco 10+ years ago, I ran into a woman who said, "Jewish men make excellent husbands."
Apparently not Rep. Miller and certainly not former OH State Treasury and two-time Senate candidate Josh Mandel! Mandel is a real dufus who is facing jail time for violating terms of his divorce agreement. Miller is also a real asshole for arguing that Palestine is not a real territory. That kind of rhetoric makes it harder for those Jews like us who want to see peace with the Israel-Palestine conflict.
Maybe Mandel and Miller can be bros in the same jail cell.
COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — A Republican who spent years as one of Ohio’s highest profile politicians has been threatened with jail time for violating the terms of his 2020 divorce agreement.
Josh Mandel, a former two-term state treasurer who ran three times for U.S. Senate, was sentenced to seven days behind bars, as was his ex-wife, Ilana Mandel, after an Ashland County court magistrate found them in contempt of court for violating elements of the deal.
The two have an opportunity to avoid the sentence, issued April 25 and first reported by The PlainDealer/cleveland.com, by complying with certain conditions over the next four months.
Common Pleas Magisrate Paul Lange found the Mandels each entered the other’s home without permission and refused to pay bills related to their three children, as well as that Ilana Mandel once failed to take a child to soccer practice. He decided against contempt on several other disputed items, including telephone time with the children and the handling of their 529 college savings account.
To avoid jail, Josh Mandel will have to provide his former spouse with regular updates on the 529 account and Ilana Mandel will have to pay for a sports program for one of their children, minus an amount her ex-husband must pay her for one child’s medical expenses.
CNN polled the 6 swing states. Harris up in Wisconsin and Michigan. Trump up in Arizona. While Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania are razor thin.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/cnn-polls-battleground-states/index.html
We're getting really good numbers from Wisconsin. It looks a lot like 2020, although it should be noted that the polling was too kind to Republicans in 2022, the polling showed Evers-Michels as a coinflip and Evers won by 3.4 and it showed Johnson with a mid-single digits lead and he wound up winning by 1.
If I were to guess right now, I think we get a repeat of 2020 with Trump overperforming in the polls but still losing narrowly. I do think its possible that the numbers that show Harris with a mid-single digit lead could end up being correct. There's this perception that Biden won because he was able to stop the bleeding in the rural areas and that's just not true. If you exclude Dane and Milwaukee counties, Trump did slightly better in the state even accounting for Biden's improvement in the WOW counties. I think Trump's numbers in the rural areas will continue to improve, but I think its possible he's crested in these areas and the numbers are flat or any improvement he sees is negligible and if that's the case, then I think a 4-6 point win is possible.
The Arizona numbers appear to be the victim of especially screwy crosstabs. I imagine it's actually a close race there, too.
Thank you for tracking the actual spending! DCCC, NRCC, and the American Action Fund have all reserved air time in IA-01 and IA-03, but I'm curious to see whether they spend all of that money. In 2022, the DCCC spent less than GOP-aligned groups in IA-03 and spent virtually nothing in IA-01 or IA-02 (which was supposedly a targeted race that year).
You bet! BTW, where did you see that American Action Network (I think that's what it's called, as opposed to Fund) had booked time in IA?
This story mentioned that AAN is targeting a bunch of races including Iowa’s first and third. Not sure whether they reserved the time already. https://iowacapitaldispatch.com/2024/08/23/ad-buys-supporting-nunn-miller-meeks-focus-on-inflation-and-border-security/
Would ratf-ing in Alaska(funneling some amount of money to the Alaska independent party) help out peltola??.. Curious as to this group's thoughts
With ranked choice voting, this should make no difference. All the non-Peltola voters need to do is rank her last, no matter how they rank the other three. This did not work so well for the R's in 2022, however, as many people ranked an R first, then chose Peltola second.
Actually I was thinking that the farther right candidate would actually attack the Republicans; I normally see that dynamic more; it's a 'purity' argument
OR-5 poll Bynum up on Chavez-DeRemer and HArris up by 8https://x.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1831328744528605496
Well, up 1 is basically tied but a good starting point.
MD-Gov: Gonzales research has Alsobrooks up 46-41: https://marylandreporter.com/2024/09/04/gonzales-poll-part-2-in-a-senate-race-alsobrooks-has-slight-lead-over-hogan-46-to-41/
Imo the key point of that poll is that Alsobrooks is unknown to over half the state and still winning; her favorable rating is huge and can consolidate the Democratic coalition relatively easily as she gets introduced to the broader statewide electorate; Sabato rates this race as Safe D and Cook rates it Solid D; I agree with the experts
Sabato and Cook both have it at Likely D, not Safe/Solid.
Are you sure?? Perhaps I was thinking of another race that a poll came out and started a similar discussion and I checked cook/Sabato; my mistake, oops
Likely seems right to me. It's very unlikely for her to lose, but Hogan is the country's most popular governor, so it's conceivable.
It may be closer than people want it to be, but I think Alsobrooks will win.
I don't think in the end; that it's close
Just to give an update about the two MA State House races I mentioned a few days ago:
In the 27th Middlesex (Somerville) district, the incumbent won easily with near 70% of the vote. (Not really surprising to me anyway.)
In the 25th Middlesex (Cambridge) district, the unofficial totals have the challenger up by just 40 votes. This margin, while small, is enough that they likely won. There's not many votes that aren't included in that number.
Not sure if this one was covered, sorry if we did.
Morning Consult with Bloomberg 8/23-26
Wisconsin
52/44 Harris
Pennsylvania
51/46 Harris
Nevada
48/46 Harris
Georgia
48/46 Harris
Michigan
49/47 Harris
Arizona
49/47 Harris
North Carolina
Tie
Likely voters
and, of course, CNN "battleground" polls listed above are much more favorable for the rancid orange
Pollster is Qpolls, seems like a random.
1,000 registered voters, 8/29-30
Texas Senate
Cruz 50
Allred 43
Sorry what's the source on this?
https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-and-cruz-lead-comfortably-in
Had to dig for it. Seems a Republican pollster based on the bias of their X page. Their spread among the genders seems a little male-dominated to me seeing as how the electorate is shaping up this year.
Aren’t they (almost) all.
Great airline, if they’re still around. Only one Rain Main will fly.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/03/new-york-democrats-abortion-rights-00176916
NYS Dems in disarray!!!
For real though, in classic NYS fashion, the abortion amendment that is supposed to bolster progressive turnout may be becoming an albatross for suburban house races which may control the House.
Apparently the group supporting the amendment was supposed to raise 20 million to support it but has raised only 2 million.... this has allowed conservative groups to seize on LQBTQ language also in the bill and spew transphobic rhetoric (men in girls bathrooms, men in women's sports etc) and control the narrative to the extent Democratic candidates in suburban areas are not seeing a boost from the amendment at all and now need to explain it to voters.
Also in true NYS Democratic fashion and a sign at how completely anemic party cohesion is in my home State right now, no one is willing to step up to spend or strongly advocate for the amendment, with the state party and Democratic groups passing the buck of responsibility.
Hochul has been trying desperately to take control over the state party for years but has been hamstrung by several self inflicted errors and probably also some strong good-ol-boy political misogyny with her battles with the legislature which have made her look weak in a state where image is everything.
Schumer and Gillibrand always run their own operations and largely play along with the disfunction. I have never seen either of them as involving themselves in State machinations.
The state party chair is basically complicit in the hands off approach.
Hakeem Jeffries has yet to try to visibly take the reins statewide and I don't view him at the moment as someone who is building any sort of machine outside of NYC.
So here we go again with disfunction in New York that may result in weak results when this should have been a slam dunk amendment.
It's also not an abortion amendment, as covered in the digest yesterday, and particularly in the linked article by Quinn Yeargain.
Do you know if it was intended as a gotv type of amendment??; in Florida, the marijuana amendment will have a youth turnout dynamic, as an example
I have no idea. Maybe someone else will comment.
Ah sorry if I ever double post! I often comment from work and write things up quickly. I'll try not to double up the digest :)
Hopefully the MN DFL pays attention. I do not like that we’re creating an abortion amendment that’s an ERA amendment for 2026. It’s combining too many things. Making the issue more comprehensive creates more opportunities for lies and confusion. And for a lot of voters, abortion and equal rights are two separate issues. Which, I think is fair considering Dems have successfully turned it into a medical issue. The horrible stories were all there.
OH-Sen, Brown beating Moreno 50-45, Trump beating Harris 52-43 in Ohio https://x.com/politics_polls/status/1830714164534194407?s=46&t=NhLQrgM30BfZmjI73-3rMg
Who is the pollster? Can you give a non-X link?
A junky pollster called SoCal Strategies that appears to be just some Republican kids spouting off. Even Nate Silver has banned them from his database.
And if Brown is still winning by 5 per cent in that poll, that's a pretty good sign.
I was flying back from Vancouver yesterday and couldn’t believe I missed the stories about Mark Robinson’s porn scandal and Tim Sheehy’s racist Native American remarks.
Is either story getting traction??
The thing about Sheehy is that it may not be a huge scandal in Montana as he is prone to frequently detail his stories with members of the Crow tribe. This was just one of them.
'drunk indians'; used effectively should be able to get some reaction
Additional I voted stickers are available this year in Michigan. The contest was mostly for school kids.
https://www.michigan.gov/sos/resources/news/2024/09/04/secretary-benson-announces-2024-i-voted-sticker-design-contest-winners
Hmm so Macron's former PM Edouard Philippe is predicting Macron will be forced to step down by next year. French politics is never boring, for better or worst.
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-emmanuel-macron-top-ally-edouard-philippe-next-presidential-election/
Actually, he can't be forced to do anything
If Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points (looking more likely) what impact might this have on election?
Imo can't hurt
Apparently, House and Senate Republicans are starting to panic about fundraising woes.
One quote by the executive director of the NRSC is telling:
"We are on a trajectory to win the majority, but unless something changes drastically in the next six weeks, we will lose winnable seats."
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/03/republican-campaign-money-problems-congress-00176947
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Republicans are racing to plug a massive money hole — before it’s too late.
The leader of House Republicans’ biggest super PAC told donors last month he needed $35 million more to compete with Democrats in the fall. Senate GOP campaign chair Steve Daines used his primetime speaking slot at the Republican convention to lament that massive spending from Democrats was keeping him awake at night. And his House GOP counterpart warned that their party’s challengers trailed Democratic incumbents by a collective $37 million at the end of June.
Republicans were already worried about a glaring financial gap even before Kamala Harris’ rise. Now, with the election just two months away, they found themselves in an even more dire position: Democrats have seen a flood of enthusiasm in recent weeks, they’re far outspending Republicans on air and their donors are more energized than ever — with campaign finance data showing a surge in grassroots fundraising in late July after President Joe Biden dropped out.
Panic is starting to set in.
“The only thing preventing us from having a great night in November is the massive financial disparity our party currently faces,” said Jason Thielman, the executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. “We are on a trajectory to win the majority, but unless something changes drastically in the next six weeks, we will lose winnable seats.”
While we're at it, donation pages for the Democratic Senate Candidates in the FL-SEN and TX-SEN races are below:
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell for Senator of Florida https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dmp_website?refcode=main-donate-link
Colin Allred for Senator of Texas https://secure.actblue.com/donate/mw-allred-web-fr-homepage_2024?refcode=web-header&amount=25&amounts=10%2C25%2C50%2C75%2C100&ask=25
They are increasingly looking like our best shots at a majority since Testers race is inching away from us according to some analysts. I would have hoped by now Schumer would recognize this and start dropping some coin. His job is to protect the MAJORITY and not just incumbents. Yes, protecting incumbents easier than defeating them but when there is a real risk that just one seat will be the difference between 50 and 49 then you need to invest sooner than later.
Schumer didn't invest enough in defeating Johnson two years ago and we barely lost it. Yes, different states than Texas or Florida but it's either cross our fingers on Harris keeping it within 15 in Montana for Tester to squeeze through or start dropping in Florida or Texas. At least Florida has some favorable amendments on the ticket this year so maybe start there.
I think Tester is probably still the most likely of the three to win. Polling has previously underestimated him.
Mandela Barnes was too far left to win. A more moderate candidate would’ve had a shot there.
You're forgetting that Russ Feingold had represented Wisconsin for more than 15 years from 1993-2011. He didn't get defeated for re-election by Ron Johnson because he was too liberal. He got defeated because of low turnout and underestimating the Tea Party wave back in 2010.
Besides, Johnson has barely even won his Senate elections by anymore than less than 5% points and his re-election win margins have continued to shrink. Not a good sign if he wants to hold on to his seat in the future.
As it turns out, when Barnes was the Democratic Senate Nominee he lost by just 1% points. Just because Barnes is "too far left" doesn't mean a liberal Democratic Senate Candidate can't win in WI.
WI isn't the same state as FL or OH.
He lost by like 10,000 votes or something. Totally winnable. And he was outspent. Which was the main issue.
Right. WI also since Trump got elected moved to the left whereas pre-Trump and during the Tea Party wave moved more to the right due to the Koch Bros' influence.
If Tester is behind, it is by a lot less than our candidates in TX and FL are behind. There are reasons the professional ratings people all consider MT a toss-up (or tilt-R) while TX and FL are universally rated Likely R. This is not to say we should write off TX and FL--it's just to say our chances in MT are better.
I disagree. Like Andrew said below me, there is only so much money can do before the market is saturated and it starts to make little difference. They say Tester is spending about even. So maybe he can benefit from more. I don't know. But what I do know is we've spent the last six months dumping money into cheap Montana for him and he's still on the cusp of being outside the margin of error according to most analysts.
In no way am I suggesting we triage him at this point at all. But Democrats are so flush for cash that we can afford to spend in Montana and reserve spots in Florida or Texas too. Rosen is looking solid in Nevada and Gallego has consistently led Lake. So even if we don't end up using it, reserving ads in Florida and Texas could pay dividends if we need to pivot at the last minute. If not now, when? We have the money right now to begin laying groundwork this cycle. This opportunity may not come back around while we are rich and facing highly unfavorable candidates in a presidential year. Now is the time if we ever will.
I do not understand what I wrote that you disagree with. You said Tester had less chance to win than we have in TX and FL. I disagreed. You respond saying you disagree with me because Tester has all the funds he likely needs and donations would make more sense in TX and FL. I never said otherwise. Indeed, I have donated to Allred and DMP every quarter. Please don't try to create a disagreement by disagreeing with something I never said and would not have said.
Whatever Tester may be behind with, it's certainly helping that GOP Senate Candidate Tim Sheehy's candidacy is imploding with problems.
Afflicted by problems, anyway. It wouldn't be too shocking if he won, anyway, though.
I’m not convinced.
Considering Tester defeated Rep. Matt Rosendale in the MT-SEN race back in 2018 before he ran for the MT-02 seat, while his margin of victory was just a sliver lower than in 2012, He still defeated Rosendale by 3+% points.
If Sheehy wins, I don’t think it will be anything other than perhaps 500-1000 votes more than Tester. Even then, i have yet to see evidence he’s running a credible campaign.
Tester might be reaching the saturation point in terms of donations soon.
Maybe, but I'll see if he could still use online volunteers.
So hire field staff. Guarantee he’s not saturated on that.
Rep Max Miller and Bernie Moreno's daughter are getting a contentious divorce.
https://www.cleveland.com/news/2024/09/us-rep-max-miller-emily-moreno-miller-divorce-case-gets-heated-in-a-hurry.html
Max Miller is a horrible woman beating POS
And apparently an angry drunk; what a guy
Oh my. How shocking. /S
And per Bernie Moreno's daughter, he's talking smack about his wife's family.
Why did he bother to marry her in the first place?
He's a stupider version of Trump and drunker; I'm guessing he married her for the money
Didn't think a stupider version of Trump existed.
Check out that dude; lol
Imo the best thing I can say about Max Miller is that he was apparently robbed by George Santos; Lmao
I just found out that Max Miller is Jewish.
My, my. As a Jew, I really am offended that a fellow Jew would do something like this to his wife. At a holiday party event in San Francisco 10+ years ago, I ran into a woman who said, "Jewish men make excellent husbands."
Apparently not Rep. Miller and certainly not former OH State Treasury and two-time Senate candidate Josh Mandel! Mandel is a real dufus who is facing jail time for violating terms of his divorce agreement. Miller is also a real asshole for arguing that Palestine is not a real territory. That kind of rhetoric makes it harder for those Jews like us who want to see peace with the Israel-Palestine conflict.
Maybe Mandel and Miller can be bros in the same jail cell.
https://apnews.com/article/ohio-republican-josh-mandel-jail-divorce-de434bd5bf3294bf7d97b8e6c42b691e
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — A Republican who spent years as one of Ohio’s highest profile politicians has been threatened with jail time for violating the terms of his 2020 divorce agreement.
Josh Mandel, a former two-term state treasurer who ran three times for U.S. Senate, was sentenced to seven days behind bars, as was his ex-wife, Ilana Mandel, after an Ashland County court magistrate found them in contempt of court for violating elements of the deal.
The two have an opportunity to avoid the sentence, issued April 25 and first reported by The PlainDealer/cleveland.com, by complying with certain conditions over the next four months.
Common Pleas Magisrate Paul Lange found the Mandels each entered the other’s home without permission and refused to pay bills related to their three children, as well as that Ilana Mandel once failed to take a child to soccer practice. He decided against contempt on several other disputed items, including telephone time with the children and the handling of their 529 college savings account.
To avoid jail, Josh Mandel will have to provide his former spouse with regular updates on the 529 account and Ilana Mandel will have to pay for a sports program for one of their children, minus an amount her ex-husband must pay her for one child’s medical expenses.