i am currently helping the Weil campaign; not going to say that we are going to win; but, we are scaring the begesus out of the Republicans; how do i know??..because the entire Randy Fine campaign is about 2 things only(neither of which has anything at all to do with Randy Fine); 1\Trump, Trump, and did i mention Trump; and 2\tying Josh …
i am currently helping the Weil campaign; not going to say that we are going to win; but, we are scaring the begesus out of the Republicans; how do i know??..because the entire Randy Fine campaign is about 2 things only(neither of which has anything at all to do with Randy Fine); 1\Trump, Trump, and did i mention Trump; and 2\tying Josh to AOC(and strangely enough not actually identifying AOC by name, which is a poor tactic imo; just putting them both togetherby photoshop since i doubt Josh would be stupid enough to be in a picture with her); oh and of course the Republicans are mailing out expensive 3rd party trash mailers not directly tied to the Fine campaign; at least we are forcing the Republicans to actively campaign if nothing else
i will try and find out for an update(atm i have no idea; sorry); it is a huge longshot; the last Democratic Congressman was my friend Suzanne Kosmas in 2010(it is basically a 2-1 district, but the Weil(pronounced like wheel)campaign is incredibly funded and professional with tons of activity);Trump and Musk are losing popularity, so maybe closing the margin to 10% or so would be good(the race will be determined in my home county of Volusia, but make no mistake, Florida is gerrymandered to the max statewide)
I keep repeating this: If Democratic candidates can achieve Scandinavian-level turnout (± 80 percent) of our voters, while Republican turnout remains the same, then we’ll turn the map Blue! Imho, this should not be impossible.
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) announced an investment in two April special House races in Florida. [The] investment, which according to the DNC will allow the Florida Democratic Party to bring in “additional full-time organizing capacity to mobilize voters and volunteers on the ground” in the state’s first and sixth congressional districts.
The investment will also cover the rollout of a voter protection program in the two districts, which will include more than 200 poll watchers and greeters to be deployed on Election Day. The DNC did not provide a specific dollar amount for the investment.
It would be much better if they had a long-term plan for light red states like Florida and Ohio. One election isn't the end, you know. Democrats were so close to wrestling back Florida in 2010, 2014 and 2018. I feel the MAGA +40R transplants during 2020-24 really tilted it. It was very close in 2020 as well. They have totally ceded the ground in Florida, it's pathetic. Atleast, Charlie Crist should be banned from primaries.
Demographic trends keep changing. It is true that most domestic movers were Republicans but Florida also receives a lot of immigrants and native-born Floridians tend to lean left. If Democrats can win back the Latino vote, it may be competitive in a strong cycle. Also, another increasing immigrant group, Haitians in Florida lean Democratic heavily. Trump's demonization of Florida Latinos especially Venezuelans like deportation to El Salvador and revocation of Parole is a political opportunity too.
Basically, I feel that trends are not set in stone and Democrats should have some sort a 50 state Dean-esque strategy to stand their ground in red states.
Also nominating perennial candidates like Crist make no sense.
I think Crist's stock as a politician outside of FL-13 for how long he served in the House was gone after he couldn't unseat Rick Scott in the gubernatorial race back in 2014. I can't fathom why he was needed in the 2022 midterms to challenge Governor DeSantis if he couldn't even defeat Scott. Might have saved himself a huge liability if he ran for re-election as Governor back in 2010 instead of jumping in the Senate race.
Since you bring up the Latino vote, I'd say FL Democrats first really need to define their agenda for Latinos other than being GOP lite.
They should start showing spine on the issue of Cuba and stop acting like they're living in the past.
When you have Annette Taddeo, FL Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried and Rep. Jared Moskowitz all crying uncle over President Biden's decision to remove Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism to ensure the Catholic church is able to help get prisoners in Cuba returned, you know FL Democrats need to get their ass together.
Republicans in states like California don't give up, they constantly keep fighting to win elections and to move the needle to the right on issues like crime where Dems take positions that are out of step with the public whereas in Florida, Democrats can't even break the supermajority.
Long-term plan: create enthusiasm that drives members of the Sofa-sitter Party to the polls!
How, you ask? By clearly showing that Democrats fight tooth and nail for the Constitution and democracy, and against all enemies foreign and domestic. (No pussy footing!)
While in power, use that power to truly benefit people – and communicate it loudly enough to drown out the right-wing media and blogosphere.
i am currently helping the Weil campaign; not going to say that we are going to win; but, we are scaring the begesus out of the Republicans; how do i know??..because the entire Randy Fine campaign is about 2 things only(neither of which has anything at all to do with Randy Fine); 1\Trump, Trump, and did i mention Trump; and 2\tying Josh to AOC(and strangely enough not actually identifying AOC by name, which is a poor tactic imo; just putting them both togetherby photoshop since i doubt Josh would be stupid enough to be in a picture with her); oh and of course the Republicans are mailing out expensive 3rd party trash mailers not directly tied to the Fine campaign; at least we are forcing the Republicans to actively campaign if nothing else
Any polls showing the state of the race between Josh Weil and Randy Fine? How much of a D longshot is this? What are your own expectations?
i will try and find out for an update(atm i have no idea; sorry); it is a huge longshot; the last Democratic Congressman was my friend Suzanne Kosmas in 2010(it is basically a 2-1 district, but the Weil(pronounced like wheel)campaign is incredibly funded and professional with tons of activity);Trump and Musk are losing popularity, so maybe closing the margin to 10% or so would be good(the race will be determined in my home county of Volusia, but make no mistake, Florida is gerrymandered to the max statewide)
I keep repeating this: If Democratic candidates can achieve Scandinavian-level turnout (± 80 percent) of our voters, while Republican turnout remains the same, then we’ll turn the map Blue! Imho, this should not be impossible.
absolutely
DNC INVESTS in Florida special elections
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) announced an investment in two April special House races in Florida. [The] investment, which according to the DNC will allow the Florida Democratic Party to bring in “additional full-time organizing capacity to mobilize voters and volunteers on the ground” in the state’s first and sixth congressional districts.
The investment will also cover the rollout of a voter protection program in the two districts, which will include more than 200 poll watchers and greeters to be deployed on Election Day. The DNC did not provide a specific dollar amount for the investment.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5205408-dnc-investment-florida-special-elections/
It would be much better if they had a long-term plan for light red states like Florida and Ohio. One election isn't the end, you know. Democrats were so close to wrestling back Florida in 2010, 2014 and 2018. I feel the MAGA +40R transplants during 2020-24 really tilted it. It was very close in 2020 as well. They have totally ceded the ground in Florida, it's pathetic. Atleast, Charlie Crist should be banned from primaries.
one of my favorite ball busting jokes is to remind my Republican friends that they have voted more times for Charlie Crist than me
DYK that it was Susie Wiles who ran those 3 nail biting campaigns for Republicans.
yup..she wins elections
In theory, a long-term plan sounds great, but what would that plan be? To somehow reverse demographic trends?
Demographic trends keep changing. It is true that most domestic movers were Republicans but Florida also receives a lot of immigrants and native-born Floridians tend to lean left. If Democrats can win back the Latino vote, it may be competitive in a strong cycle. Also, another increasing immigrant group, Haitians in Florida lean Democratic heavily. Trump's demonization of Florida Latinos especially Venezuelans like deportation to El Salvador and revocation of Parole is a political opportunity too.
Basically, I feel that trends are not set in stone and Democrats should have some sort a 50 state Dean-esque strategy to stand their ground in red states.
Also nominating perennial candidates like Crist make no sense.
I think Crist's stock as a politician outside of FL-13 for how long he served in the House was gone after he couldn't unseat Rick Scott in the gubernatorial race back in 2014. I can't fathom why he was needed in the 2022 midterms to challenge Governor DeSantis if he couldn't even defeat Scott. Might have saved himself a huge liability if he ran for re-election as Governor back in 2010 instead of jumping in the Senate race.
Since you bring up the Latino vote, I'd say FL Democrats first really need to define their agenda for Latinos other than being GOP lite.
They should start showing spine on the issue of Cuba and stop acting like they're living in the past.
When you have Annette Taddeo, FL Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried and Rep. Jared Moskowitz all crying uncle over President Biden's decision to remove Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism to ensure the Catholic church is able to help get prisoners in Cuba returned, you know FL Democrats need to get their ass together.
How left-leaning are people born in Florida?
Republicans in states like California don't give up, they constantly keep fighting to win elections and to move the needle to the right on issues like crime where Dems take positions that are out of step with the public whereas in Florida, Democrats can't even break the supermajority.
Long-term plan: create enthusiasm that drives members of the Sofa-sitter Party to the polls!
How, you ask? By clearly showing that Democrats fight tooth and nail for the Constitution and democracy, and against all enemies foreign and domestic. (No pussy footing!)
While in power, use that power to truly benefit people – and communicate it loudly enough to drown out the right-wing media and blogosphere.
Very difficult to drown them out, and it's very late to try to amplify left-wing media voices, but they're trying.