TDB’s Quinn Yeargain shared the tracking link on the Discord server. You should get on there.
Right now, the voted registration advantage stands at R+6pt. If you truly have high to mid teen crossover votes, and low 20pt lead in NPAs, no way the D candidate is ahead.
I bet the final Tuesday result as losing by 15pt. A huge overperformance in a Trump/Waltz+30 district.
TDB’s Quinn Yeargain shared the tracking link on the Discord server. You should get on there.
Right now, the voted registration advantage stands at R+6pt. If you truly have high to mid teen crossover votes, and low 20pt lead in NPAs, no way the D candidate is ahead.
I bet the final Tuesday result as losing by 15pt. A huge overperformance in a Trump/Waltz+30 district.
TDB’s Quinn Yeargain shared the tracking link on the Discord server. You should get on there.
Right now, the voted registration advantage stands at R+6pt. If you truly have high to mid teen crossover votes, and low 20pt lead in NPAs, no way the D candidate is ahead.
I bet the final Tuesday result as losing by 15pt. A huge overperformance in a Trump/Waltz+30 district.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TETsNiLSbsRTu0THuWi70HA4UVqKJFG_mhs-w_tZM80/htmlview
Many thanks!