Yes but first they’d need to be able to win both chambers as well as the governorship in a redistricting cycle, which they haven’t been able to do in well over 50 years.
Yes but first they’d need to be able to win both chambers as well as the governorship in a redistricting cycle, which they haven’t been able to do in well over 50 years.
Nah, mid-decade redistricting. Pass a map whenever you want. Legal in most states. They blew their chance in 2022 when it would have been the easiest to do.
Too many blue states screwed themselves over way too long ago and then we continued doing so even after the damage was already done. At this point, the only states Dems can have any hope of gerrymandering to the point of making a difference is IL, MN, NM, NV and OR. IL packs a punch but the others are only picking up 1 seat each.
It’s too bad the MN state senate isn’t up every midterm but rotates based on the census. The 2010’s were Presidential year elections so if the state senate had been up in 2018 like other states, we would have crushed it and gerrymandered ourselves into a semi-permanent majority.
Some creative line drawing could make Washington's current 8-2 composition more durable. We got there by picking up an R+5 seat and holding a D+1 seat. If they gerrymandered the state I suspect we could get the R+5 closer to even and make the D+1 more of a D+3ish seat.
Maine's constitution makes this de facto impossible, and I wouldn't even call it a gerrymander in practice, but the state could be split into two roughly equal seats by partisan make up, both being light blue. Instead we get a dark blue along with a red seat that we lucked into winning.
Those two map changes wouldn't change the current composition of our house delegation but it would make it so we wouldn't need exceptional candidates to hold two of our current seats, and would make a third seat more able to survive bad years for us.
I’ve never heard that before. I just think it hasn’t been done. The DFL was too chicken shit to do it when they had the chance. I used to say back in the day of Swing State Project that it wouldn’t be a good political move but the gloves are off. Winning elections is always a good political move. And, people don’t care about “good governance” or political maps. Winning is winning.
Yes but first they’d need to be able to win both chambers as well as the governorship in a redistricting cycle, which they haven’t been able to do in well over 50 years.
Nah, mid-decade redistricting. Pass a map whenever you want. Legal in most states. They blew their chance in 2022 when it would have been the easiest to do.
I’m pretty sure the MN constitution prohibits mid decade redistricting.
Are there any states that we have trifecta control in, and which would allow mid-decade redistricting?
I don’t believe any states that we didn’t already have control over redistricting for 2022.
Too many blue states screwed themselves over way too long ago and then we continued doing so even after the damage was already done. At this point, the only states Dems can have any hope of gerrymandering to the point of making a difference is IL, MN, NM, NV and OR. IL packs a punch but the others are only picking up 1 seat each.
It’s too bad the MN state senate isn’t up every midterm but rotates based on the census. The 2010’s were Presidential year elections so if the state senate had been up in 2018 like other states, we would have crushed it and gerrymandered ourselves into a semi-permanent majority.
Some creative line drawing could make Washington's current 8-2 composition more durable. We got there by picking up an R+5 seat and holding a D+1 seat. If they gerrymandered the state I suspect we could get the R+5 closer to even and make the D+1 more of a D+3ish seat.
Maine's constitution makes this de facto impossible, and I wouldn't even call it a gerrymander in practice, but the state could be split into two roughly equal seats by partisan make up, both being light blue. Instead we get a dark blue along with a red seat that we lucked into winning.
Those two map changes wouldn't change the current composition of our house delegation but it would make it so we wouldn't need exceptional candidates to hold two of our current seats, and would make a third seat more able to survive bad years for us.
I’ve never heard that before. I just think it hasn’t been done. The DFL was too chicken shit to do it when they had the chance. I used to say back in the day of Swing State Project that it wouldn’t be a good political move but the gloves are off. Winning elections is always a good political move. And, people don’t care about “good governance” or political maps. Winning is winning.