Could just be a fluke that she keeps getting it right in late October, but the more cynical explanation is that she gives the numbers her polling reflects in the interim and, when it counts, with everything at stake reputationally, she adds a secret sauce based on the tea leaves to get the outcome she expects will materialize in her gut.
Could just be a fluke that she keeps getting it right in late October, but the more cynical explanation is that she gives the numbers her polling reflects in the interim and, when it counts, with everything at stake reputationally, she adds a secret sauce based on the tea leaves to get the outcome she expects will materialize in her gut.
Or, polls are only a snapshot in time. Zero idea why so many people think polls today say what the results will be a month and a half from now. It gives us an idea but elections matter and undecided voters are liars who are mostly predisposed to vote one way or another.
Could just be a fluke that she keeps getting it right in late October, but the more cynical explanation is that she gives the numbers her polling reflects in the interim and, when it counts, with everything at stake reputationally, she adds a secret sauce based on the tea leaves to get the outcome she expects will materialize in her gut.
Or, polls are only a snapshot in time. Zero idea why so many people think polls today say what the results will be a month and a half from now. It gives us an idea but elections matter and undecided voters are liars who are mostly predisposed to vote one way or another.