19 Comments

I thought James Michael Curley ran for Mayor of Boston after his term as Governor

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Perhaps there was a break in between..??

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author

Curley was only governor 1935-1937, and he gave up his seat to unsuccessfully run for Senate against Henry Cabot Lodge. He did regain the mayor's office later, but he wasn't a sitting governor by then.

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Sep 10Liked by David Nir, Jeff Singer

comments like this are why I subscribe

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Sep 11Liked by Jeff Singer

And Jerry Brown, but again, like you said, it was in between his 2 stints as governor and he wasn’t in the governor’s office when he ran for mayor of Oakland.

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Funny that you mention NH1 as one of the nation's most volatile seats - the member representing the seat in the '40s-'60s wrote the same thing; and I've been reading about the intense campaigns there going at back least to the 1920s.

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author

Fascinating! Where have you been reading about these long-ago elections?

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Sep 10Liked by David Nir

Mostly in newspaper archives or old dissertations. I've been working on a couple of research projects, one of which is here: https://www.nejh.org/product-page/wolanin-the-five-day-congressman-the-jenks-v-roy-election-dispute (or an earlier iteration here: https://newenglandhistoricalsociety.com/the-new-hampshire-recount-that-went-on-for-19-months/).

The Congressman in the '40s-'60s is Chester Merrow, and he had a memoir (mostly on foreign policy) called "My Life in Congress."

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Joyce Craig is the best Democrat to take on Kelly Ayotte!! 💙🇺🇲

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I just cast a ballot for Cinde Warmington. But I’d happily vote for either over Ayotte! Also rooting for Van Ostern, but again, super happy to vote for Goodlander if she wins. I think Harris will pull either Democratic gubernatorial candidate over the top in November!!

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Sep 9·edited Sep 9

NY-01:

John Avlon is the Democratic Congressional Candidate running here. He's a co-founder of No Labels but has not been involved with the organization in some time. He's also been critical of the group's originally planned presidential effort as a third party.

Avlon is I believe considered a centrist although with NY-01 he might fit as it's a Lean GOP R+3 Congressional District.

Any thoughts on the race?

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author

Unquestionably a very tough one—Dems actually made this district slightly *redder* (if you can believe it) to help shore up Tom Suozzi in the 3rd.

But the bigger difficulty is that this district, like all the seats on Long Island, is contained entirely within the NYC media market, which is the most expensive in the nation. And it's therefore unlikely that major outside groups like the DCCC or House Majority PAC would come to Avlon's aid given that this district is not on the road to a majority. (What I mean is, if NY-01 flips, a lot of other seats have as well.)

Avlon, at least, is a good fundraiser, so he should be able to get his name out on his own. But I think he also has a serious weakness that has plagued other candidates on eastern Long Island (like Perry Gershon), which is that he doesn't really have strong ties to the area. And this is one of those regions that is very conscious of the impact that folks from NYC have.

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I've seen Avlon speak, and he comes across as bright, well informed about the issues.

On the flipside regarding NY-01 as being a Lean GOP district, Avlon's wife Margaret Hoover is the great-granddaughter of President Herbert Hoover. Hoover of course was a much different breed of Republican compared to where the GOP is today.

https://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/08/fashion/weddings/08HOOVER.html

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The bride, 31, will continue to use her name professionally. She is a political and media consultant in New York and a commentator on the Fox News Channel. She graduated from Bryn Mawr. From June 2004 to November 2005, she worked at the White House as the associate director of the Office of Intergovernmental Affairs.

She is a great-granddaughter of Herbert Hoover, the 31st president of the United States. She is on the board of overseers of the Hoover Institution at Stanford and on the board of the Herbert Hoover Presidential Library Association in West Branch, Iowa.

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Is she still commentating on Fox? If so, what kind of line does she take, and is she arguably truthful?

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I haven't paid attention to Hoover's history at Fox so I can't comment.

That said, seems that Avlon and Hoover are another unique political power couple like James Carville and Mary Matalin (who is in the Libertarian Party these days last I checked).

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She's in the Libertarian Party now? I felt that Carville and Matalin were able to be married because on some level, they consider politics a game. I don't, and could never be in a committed relationship with someone who supports an immoral party that hurts people.

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Sep 11·edited Sep 11

Back in 2016 Matalin registered as a Libertarian. She gave complicated answers to basic questions as to why she chose not to remain in the GOP.

On the other hand, I found out over a year ago that Matalin is an animal rights activist. I would have never thought someone of her stature would be this way but then again, animal rights really shouldn't be partisan to begin with.

https://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/mary-matalin-registered-independent-222882

FYI, the "independent" word in the domain URL is a typo.

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What about the senate race in Delaware?

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It's over

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