There were some counties with bad trends where I was surprised that they weren't even worse. I think the border issue hurt Harris in Arizona, but I didn't expect Pima and Cochise to have among the smallest red shifts. Dem numbers also largely collapsed in rez counties as they generally did in poorer areas nationwide (presumably mostly du…
There were some counties with bad trends where I was surprised that they weren't even worse. I think the border issue hurt Harris in Arizona, but I didn't expect Pima and Cochise to have among the smallest red shifts. Dem numbers also largely collapsed in rez counties as they generally did in poorer areas nationwide (presumably mostly due to inflation) but Menominee county WI shifted less than 3 points toward Trump compared to about 6 nationally.
There were some counties with bad trends where I was surprised that they weren't even worse. I think the border issue hurt Harris in Arizona, but I didn't expect Pima and Cochise to have among the smallest red shifts. Dem numbers also largely collapsed in rez counties as they generally did in poorer areas nationwide (presumably mostly due to inflation) but Menominee county WI shifted less than 3 points toward Trump compared to about 6 nationally.