46 Comments

Defeating lyin' Ted Cruz is difficult (but certainly not impossible). Anyone on here who knows anyone from Texas or is from there themselves, running up the score BIG TIME in population centers i.e. Austin, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio (surrounding counties as well) is required for Colin Allred to pull off the upset. Beto done that in 2018, just not by enough obviously as he still fell short by 3 points!! πŸ’™πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡²πŸŒŠπŸ™β­οΈπŸ’―

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Imo the Democratic party is very lucky here because both incumbent senators are unpopular politicians as opposed to Rubio and Cornyn, who I consider virtually unbeatable

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I predict Rubio runs for prez in '28 rather than Senate.

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Last time he ran for both..he might do it again, but imo he's definitely running for President in '28 because deSantis is done

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Beto lost by less than 3% points, not 3% points.

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Hopefully this is a sign of strength in the overall Democratic ticket. I would love to see more numbers from the South Florida races too.

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And once again the Republicans do the Democratic party a favor by nominating a crazy conspiracy theory George Santos female..that district is loaded with Charlie Crist Republican retirees that won't vote for the crazy

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I'm not sure about St.Pete polls accuracy historically but that is literally in their backyard

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It would be great to see a QaNon crazy lose re-election in a House seat in FL.

Same with Lauren Boebert in CO-04.

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AK-AL: Peltola (D) edges up to 50.7%. Looks like all or nearly all of the votes have been counted. Combined R vote is 47.6%.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/20/us/elections/results-alaska-primary.html

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Good catch. Anyone know off-hand when AK is set to finish counting?

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Per the Division of Elections, the deadline for receipt of absentee ballots is 8/30 and final certification of results "is slated for September 1, 2024." https://www.elections.alaska.gov

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You rock! So this would mean they're planning to certify the Sunday of Labor Day weekend. πŸ₯΄

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Before you cancel your weekend plans, most states allow deadlines that fall on holidays or weekends to be met on the next business day (here, Tuesday). Still, the Division of Elections posted the date specifically as 8/30.

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Correction: I meant to write that it specified September 1, 2024, as written above.

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Yeah, definitely - when you see a deadline in a statute, that's typically the case. But like you say, this was a bit unusual since they posted this in a public communication!

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PA Senate. May come from not living in the state.

https://x.com/maddymcdaniel14/status/1828870739400728753

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So you all don't have to click the link: Dave McCormick, the Republican candidate, highlighted a story from Philadelphia - Mississippi - to try to demagogue immigration to Pennsylvania.

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Didn't Reagan start his 1980 campaign there to talk about state's rights?

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yup..Schwerner, Chaney, and Goodman were murdered there; Reagan was going after the George Wallace coalition

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He went there at the suggestion of Trent Lott. True story.

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He’s making it easier for Bob Casey to win re-election for sure.

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These clowns score own goal after own goal; fact checking this would have taken less than 1 minute

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He and his staff probably didn't know there was another Philadelphia, and it didn't occur to them to check on that.

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He also ran afoul of Hershey Park by lying about their ticket prices.

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I guess we have our new Congresswoman in NJ09: https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/wimberly-withdraws-from-nj-9-congressional-race/ . The others probably figure they'll get another chance not too far in the future, with Pou set to be a 68yo freshman.

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Fox poll of Sun Belt swing states has Harris up 50-48 in Nevada and Georgia, 50-49 in Arizona, and down 49-50 in NC: https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-closes-gap-trump-sun-belt-states

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And yet, Trump today told 'Dr.' Phil that he won California easily except for the massive fraud

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He did? Was it an episode about broken families?

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Did Trump say he won Vermont easily because of the same reasons?

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And Gallego up 15.

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Also Rosen up 14 and Stein 11

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Candidate quality across the board; on top of massive fundraising advantages

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And to think Rosen was the third must vulnerable incumbent behind Tester and Brown.

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Who is now?

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She probably still is.

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As expected, Kari Lake is a lame duck Senate candidate. Gallego literally has the whole race to himself!

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Yup; even the Police Union that endorsed Trump saw the writing on the wall and endorsed Gallego the next day

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Fox news polls are usually pretty accurate. Look for another tantrum from the Orange menace.

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What the hell is with this discrepancy between senate and presidential numbers? Would it make sense if Trump is turning out low-information/low-interest voters who are just showing up to vote for him and skipping downballot races?

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Are you referring to AZ-Senate? I believe Kari Lake (R) has worn out her welcome.

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May be hard to believe, but some people still split their tickets. But I think the margins in the two senate races are a bit exaggerated

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Agreed but Lake has basically been triaged already

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Veterans β€˜Furious’ at Trump Campaign: https://politicalwire.com/2024/08/28/veterans-furious-at-trump-campaign/

All other Republican politicians should be asked to comment on this and made to squirm.

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